AFTER a disastrous Saturday I am aiming my sights where the conditions often prove a little more consistent than we have encountered over recent weeks and any fear of runners getting stuck in the mud shouldn’t be a concern as we head over to Kempton Park.
The final three races on the card have a touch of quality about them which is otherwise missing at the rest of the meetings and there looks some interesting runners as we find horses who will be happy for the return to the synthetic surface and getting their hooves out of the turf.
Not many horses come into this race with much recent form behind them and I think it could be worth taking a chance on the two fillies. Chabada to date has the look of a synthetic specialist, she notched up a hat trick earlier in the year which started with a win on the fibresand before two more comfortable wins on the pollytrack at Wolverhampton. Since a little break she has come back out on the turf but has failed to show her form and the switch back onto pollytrack today against what doesn’t look the most competitive field she could bounce back to form. She stays well having won over fourteen furlongs twice and this step up in trip may bring about more improvement.
Rumh may look a risky proposition but I’m prepared to give her the benefit of the doubt here. She has certainly showed her best under fast or true conditions and switching back to pollytrack now dropping down the handicap she could have an outside chance. She looked a promising filly last season when winning a listed race off the back of a listed third to group one winning fillies Izzi Top and Dancing Rain but when stepped up in class she failed to show her best. There could have been an underlying problem but it also coincided with racing on softer conditions and she has looked at her most promising when on quick turf and on the only occasion she raced on pollytrack. I’m prepared to stick a line through her two runs this year one at Epsom on her re-appearance and one on soft ground and Warwick and take a chance that in this not so competitive handicap she could bounce back to her best.
Ramona Chase seems to pop up most weeks, usually at Epsom but he may just find this drop in class to his liking. He didn’t run too badly at Epsom last time out behind Gatewood, he was shouldering a penalty for a previous win at Windsor and dropping in trip and I suspect that ten furlongs is a bit on the short side for him these days now. Returning to twelve furlongs at what looks his optimum trip he should prove dangerous just two pounds higher in the handicap than his last win dropping into a moderate looking handicap. He actually ran well here on his last polly track start also over eleven furlongs off a break at the start of the season and though he isn’t getting any younger and not exactly a big improver he is consistent and won’t need to improve to be in the shake up in this contest.
Ibtahaj looks to host an excellent chance in this contest and in truth could prove difficult to beat as he looks ahead of the handicapper here. Taking a chance against him though I would side with My Son Max. He hasn’t fared badly in a couple of better handicaps than this on his latest two outings and I suspect on conditions that don’t suit him also. I was impressed by his last win on the pollytrack when racing here at Kempton in May. He absolutely tanked his way through the contest and inside two out still travelling well had a lot to do to catch the second that day Ducal who has subsequently won. But he quickened well showing a good turn of foot to cut through runners and mow down Ducal towards the line. He’s only a four a year old and has only had four starts for P J O`Gorman who has done well with recruits from other yards in the past couple of seasons and he could turn out a bit of a pollytrack specialist and I think there is more to come from him yet on this surface.
8.00 – Chabada/Rumh
8.35 – Ramona Chase
9.05 – My Son Max (ew)